We said: Moldova 1-1 Cyprus
Cyprus will be looking to claim their first away win since 2022, but we think that they will have to settle for a draw when they face a nation that has seen three of their previous five matches finish all square.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 56.76%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 21.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The…